Udinese 2-3 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 15%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Udinese 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Udinese carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Padova Calcio?

Udinese 2-3 Padova Calcio in the Friendlies on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Udinese 56%, draw 19%, Padova Calcio 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Udinese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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