KFUM Oslo 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
8%
4.22
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.23
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.51/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.61
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
24.5 Crosses 20.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.49 xG 1.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
205 Passes 507
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 42
4 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
1-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.72 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
394 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over KFUM Oslo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sarpsborg 08 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 54% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 46%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.72 to 1.31.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

KFUM Oslo 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 40%, draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFUM Oslo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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