Lilleström vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lilleström v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals
Lilleström vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Haugesund
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Lilleström
NOR
0-1
HT 0-1
Lilleström
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Haugesund
NOR
0-3
HT 0-2
Lilleström
NOR
Lilleström 0-1 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics
Haugesund squeezed past Lilleström 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lilleström at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lilleström had 63% of the ball to Haugesund's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lilleström and 0.17 for Haugesund.
What was the final score of Lilleström vs Haugesund?
Lilleström 0-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Haugesund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 54%, draw 23%, Haugesund 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.