Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
3.08
6+ Goals
16%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.89
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
9%
11.8
X/X
8%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.0
2/2
8%
9.33
2/X
10%
17.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.97/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.74
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
27.6 Crosses 20.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HamKam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.62 xG 1.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 24
42 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.05.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-7 HT 0-5 HamKam HamKam NOR
16.03.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 HAZ
24.09.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-3 HT 2-3 HamKam HamKam NOR
04.09.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
4-0
AWAY HamKam
2.46 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
441 Passes 410
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 swept aside HamKam 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 51% of the ball to HamKam's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.46 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.00 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?

Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 54%, draw 23%, HamKam 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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