Haugesund 1-4 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.43
2-3 Goals
41%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.3
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
5%
11.15
X/2
13%
4.37
X/X
11%
6.86
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
28%
1.94
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.3 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.12/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.21
-48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
18.1 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Viking
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.06 xG 2.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
303 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2025 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 2-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
23.11.2024 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 1-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
21.07.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
16.09.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
08.07.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
25.06.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 4-2 HT 1-2 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
1-4
AWAY Viking
0.90 xG 1.95
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
204 Passes 443
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking ran out comfortable winners over Haugesund 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Haugesund had 36% of the ball to Viking's 64%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.90 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haugesund and 2.67 for Viking.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Viking?

Haugesund 1-4 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 23%, draw 24%, Viking 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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