Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Tromsö
NOR
2-1
HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Tromsö
NOR
2-5
HT 1-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics
Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 50% of the ball to Tromsö's 50%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.55 to 1.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.00 for Tromsö.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 44%, draw 25%, Tromsö 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.