Sandefjord vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sandefjord v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals
Sandefjord vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
1-0
HT 1-0
Sandefjord
NOR
2-2
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
Sandefjord 3-2 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics
Sandefjord squeezed past Stromsgodset 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sandefjord had 46% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 54%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 4.24 to 1.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sandefjord's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandefjord and 1.00 for Stromsgodset.
What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Stromsgodset?
Sandefjord 3-2 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Stromsgodset?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 49%, draw 25%, Stromsgodset 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.