HamKam 2-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 May 2025

HamKam
2-1 HT 1-1
Molde
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

HamKam vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.47
1/2
7%
22.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
7%
8.77
X/2
18%
4.58
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.38
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.35
Value flag · 2/X at 13.35 — our 13% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -23%
1.10/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.34
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
21.0 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

HamKam vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Molde
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 1.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
262 Passes 517
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
03.12.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.10.2022 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 4-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
03.07.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR

HamKam 2-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
2-1
AWAY Molde
1.22 xG 1.43
27% Ball Possession 73%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
159 Passes 627
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 40
21 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam squeezed past Molde 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HamKam had 27% of the ball to Molde's 73%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.22 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for HamKam and 2.33 for Molde.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Molde?

HamKam 2-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split HamKam 21%, draw 27%, Molde 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5
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