Valerenga vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Valerenga
NOR
3-4
HT 3-1
Lilleström
NOR
3-1
HT 2-0
Lilleström
NOR
2-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
0-0
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
2-2
HT 0-2
Lilleström
NOR
Valerenga 0-2 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström got the better of Valerenga 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Lilleström made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valerenga had 40% of the ball to Lilleström's 60%, shots finished 18-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valerenga and 1.83 for Lilleström.
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Lilleström?
Valerenga 0-2 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 36%, draw 25%, Lilleström 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.