Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 22%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.86
+36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II and Uniao Santarem couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 65% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 35%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Uniao Santarem?

Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 51%, draw 23%, Uniao Santarem 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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