Mafra vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Amarante — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Amarante Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Mafra 1-4 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante swept aside Mafra 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Mafra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mafra had 56% of the ball to Amarante's 44%, shots finished 12-10.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Amarante?
Mafra 1-4 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Amarante?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mafra 41%, draw 27%, Amarante 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mafra), Under 2.5 went the other way.