Academica 2-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.33
-15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2026 CF Os Belenenses 3-2 HT 2-1 Academica Academica POR3
14.12.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
13.09.2025 Academica Academica 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
25.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
27.10.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
18.12.2022 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academica vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica edged past CF Os Belenenses 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academica had 38% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 62%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academica and 1.00 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Academica 2-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 26%, CF Os Belenenses 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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