CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.47/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.91
+15% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Academica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Academica Academica 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
25.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
27.10.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
18.12.2022 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Academica
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Academica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 51% of the ball to Academica's 49%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.50 for Academica.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Academica?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 46%, draw 23%, Academica 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
14 Dec 2025
18:00 Amarante vs AD Marco 09 Analysis →
18:00 Uniao Santarem vs Amora FC Analysis →
18:00 Dezembro vs Caldas Analysis →
23:00 Fafe vs Trofense Analysis →