Fafe 1-2 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.13
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Trofense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Trofense Trofense 5-1 HT 2-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
14.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
31.08.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
27.04.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-3 HT 1-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
24.02.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-3 HT 1-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
13.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-2
AWAY Trofense
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense nicked a narrow win over Fafe 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 54% of the ball to Trofense's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fafe and 2.00 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Trofense?

Fafe 1-2 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fafe 48%, draw 26%, Trofense 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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