Dezembro 2-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.60
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
25.01.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
27.10.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
04.05.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
18.02.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
11.11.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
2-0
AWAY Caldas
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro got the better of Caldas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dezembro had 43% of the ball to Caldas's 57%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.50 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Caldas?

Dezembro 2-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 30%, draw 28%, Caldas 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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