CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.29/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.92
+3% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Academica
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
13.09.2025 Academica Academica 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
25.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
27.10.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
18.12.2022 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
3-2
AWAY Academica
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Academica 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 47% of the ball to Academica's 53%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.40 for Academica.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Academica?

CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 41%, draw 24%, Academica 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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