Varzim 2-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.31/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.11
+2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Trofense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.12.2025 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
11.10.2025 Trofense Trofense 2-1 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
30.08.2025 Trofense Trofense 5-1 HT 3-0 Varzim Varzim POK
18.01.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
06.10.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
16.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-0
AWAY Trofense
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Varzim vs Trofense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Varzim beat Trofense 2-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21 Feb 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Varzim had 39% of the ball to Trofense's 61%, shots finished 10-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Varzim and 2.33 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Trofense?

Varzim 2-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Varzim 47%, draw 26%, Trofense 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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