Trofense 2-1 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -9%
1.55/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.48
+19% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
152 Passes 451
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Trofense Trofense 5-1 HT 3-0 Varzim Varzim POK
18.01.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
06.10.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
16.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
03.09.2023 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.04.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
2-1
AWAY Varzim
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Trofense vs Varzim
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Trofense edged past Varzim 2-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11 Oct 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trofense had 55% of the ball to Varzim's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trofense and 1.00 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Varzim?

Trofense 2-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trofense 43%, draw 28%, Varzim 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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