Trofense 5-1 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 36%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
156 Passes 436
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.01.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
06.10.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
16.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
03.09.2023 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.04.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
12.12.2021 Varzim Varzim 1-3 HT 1-2 Trofense Trofense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
5-1
AWAY Varzim
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Trofense vs Varzim
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Trofense ran out comfortable winners over Varzim 5-1 in the Portugal - Cup on 30 Aug 2025. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trofense had 46% of the ball to Varzim's 54%, shots finished 13-5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trofense and 1.00 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Varzim?

Trofense 5-1 Varzim in the Portugal - Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Trofense 35%, draw 28%, Varzim 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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