Belenenses 1-0 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belenenses EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+0% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belenenses
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Amora FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 18
20.10.2018 Amora FC Amora FC 3-3 HT 2-0 Belenenses Belenenses POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belenenses
1-0
AWAY Amora FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
30 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Belenenses vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belenenses squeezed past Amora FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belenenses had 56% of the ball to Amora FC's 44%, shots finished 30-3.

What was the final score of Belenenses vs Amora FC?

Belenenses 1-0 Amora FC in the Portugal - Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belenenses vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belenenses 45%, draw 22%, Amora FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belenenses) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belenenses) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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