Vidigueira 2-1 Lagoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vidigueira EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lagoa EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vidigueira
2-1
AWAY Lagoa
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vidigueira vs Lagoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vidigueira nicked a narrow win over Lagoa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vidigueira as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vidigueira had 40% of the ball to Lagoa's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Vidigueira vs Lagoa?

Vidigueira 2-1 Lagoa in the Portugal - Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vidigueira vs Lagoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vidigueira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vidigueira 41%, draw 25%, Lagoa 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vidigueira) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vidigueira) ✗ Under 2.5
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