Vila Real 3-2 Camacha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Real EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Camacha EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-100% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Real
3-2
AWAY Camacha
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vila Real vs Camacha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Real nicked a narrow win over Camacha 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vila Real found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vila Real had 57% of the ball to Camacha's 43%, shots finished 18-17.

What was the final score of Vila Real vs Camacha?

Vila Real 3-2 Camacha in the Portugal - Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Real vs Camacha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Real win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vila Real 40%, draw 27%, Camacha 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Real), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Real) ✓ BTTS Yes
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