Çorum FK 3-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.80/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.61
-27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +64%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
33.0 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
450 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
13.12.2025 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-1
AWAY Sivasspor
2.09 xG 0.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
516 Passes 262
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK got the better of Sivasspor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 64% of the ball to Sivasspor's 36%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.09 to 0.51.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Sivasspor?

Çorum FK 3-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 52%, draw 22%, Sivasspor 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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