Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor edged past Keçiörengücü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 50% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 50%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.76 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 57%, draw 21%, Keçiörengücü 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.