Ümraniyespor 1-2 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

Ümraniyespor
1-2 HT 0-0
Van Spor FK
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ümraniyespor vs Van Spor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ümraniyespor v Van Spor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.98
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
15.3 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4

Ümraniyespor vs Van Spor FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.53 xG 0.72
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 468
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Ümraniyespor 1-2 Van Spor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1-2
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.24 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
359 Passes 379
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Ümraniyespor vs Van Spor FK
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Van Spor FK edged past Ümraniyespor 2-1 away from home in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 49% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 51%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.24 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Ümraniyespor 1-2 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 41%, draw 27%, Van Spor FK 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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