Alcorcon 1-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

Alcorcon
1-1 HT 1-0
Valladolid
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Alcorcon vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.9
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.84
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
9%
5.91
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
20%
3.39
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.65
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcorcon v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.08
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.7 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Alcorcon vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valladolid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
242 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
27.03.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
26.09.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
10.03.2018 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
12.10.2017 Valladolid Valladolid 4-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
19.03.2017 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2

Alcorcon 1-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Valladolid
0.97 xG 1.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
188 Passes 350
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Valladolid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Alcorcon had 39% of the ball to Valladolid's 61%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alcorcon and 1.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Valladolid?

Alcorcon 1-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 29%, draw 35%, Valladolid 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valladolid), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
19 May 2024
15:00 Eibar vs Cartagena Analysis →
22:00 Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →