Real Zaragoza 2-2 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.34
X/2
8%
6.97
X/X
15%
3.57
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
12%
5.92
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.37/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
24.2 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.44 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
08.03.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.10.2002 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-2
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.01 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 9
235 Passes 279
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Racing Ferrol couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 49% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 51%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.01 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.33 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol?

Real Zaragoza 2-2 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 46%, draw 29%, Racing Ferrol 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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