Eibar vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Eibar
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 0-1
Eibar
İS2
4-1
HT 1-1
Eibar
İS2
2-1
HT 2-0
Cartagena
İS2
Eibar 1-0 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Eibar squeezed past Cartagena 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Eibar had 48% of the ball to Cartagena's 52%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Eibar's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Eibar and 2.20 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Cartagena?
Eibar 1-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Eibar 57%, draw 18%, Cartagena 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.