Cesena 2-2 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.85/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.70
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
22.03.2014 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
13.10.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.05.2013 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
15.12.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-2
AWAY Juve Stabia
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cesena had 30% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 70%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cesena and 0.75 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Cesena 2-2 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie C on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cesena 47%, draw 28%, Juve Stabia 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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