Vis Pesaro 4-3 Recanatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Recanatese EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.20
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Recanatese
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Recanatese Recanatese 1-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
24.02.2024 Recanatese Recanatese 1-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
22.10.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
05.10.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 1-3 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTCK
23.12.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
04.09.2022 Recanatese Recanatese 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
4-3
AWAY Recanatese
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Recanatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro squeezed past Recanatese 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vis Pesaro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 57% of the ball to Recanatese's 43%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Recanatese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vis Pesaro and 0.67 for Recanatese.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Recanatese?

Vis Pesaro 4-3 Recanatese in the Italy - Serie C on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Recanatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 43%, draw 28%, Recanatese 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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