Roma (K) 5-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.14
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.49
No
57%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
63%
-20.3pp
57%
BTTS No
37%
+20.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.22
+123% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -50%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.0 Crosses 12.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.61 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
442 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
5-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.71 xG 0.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
463 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
46 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) cruised past Fiorentina (K) 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 61% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 39%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.71 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Roma (K) and 0.00 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Roma (K) 5-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 61%, draw 22%, Fiorentina (K) 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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