Borneo FC 2-3 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 19 May 2024

Borneo FC
2-3 HT 2-1
Madura United
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Borneo FC vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
20%
+14.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borneo FC v Madura United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +29%
1.80/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.90
+0% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Borneo FC vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Madura United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 384
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
14.12.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-2 HT 2-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
18.09.2019 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United nicked a narrow win over Borneo FC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Madura United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Borneo FC and 1.50 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Borneo FC 2-3 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 40%, draw 25%, Madura United 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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