Gangwon 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.19
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
8%
7.55
X/2
12%
4.56
X/X
5%
5.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.58
2/X
11%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.08/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.6 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.86 xG 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 505
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
12.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
09.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
05.03.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
16.10.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
30.07.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
258 Passes 640
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Hyundai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gangwon had 38% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 62%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gangwon and 1.67 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gangwon 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 33%, draw 26%, Ulsan Hyundai 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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