Gwangju 0-3 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 May 2024

Gwangju
0-3 HT 0-2
Jeonbuk Motors
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.63
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
12%
7.59
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.15
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Jeonbuk Motors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
0.99/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.52
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
24.0 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
448 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.09.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
12.03.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Gwangju 0-3 Jeonbuk Motors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-3
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
482 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors cruised past Gwangju 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gwangju had 60% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 40%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gwangju and 1.83 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gwangju 0-3 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 46%, draw 26%, Jeonbuk Motors 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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