Osijek 2-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.60/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.36
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
25.3 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
27.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
02.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
21.01.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-0
AWAY Rijeka
0.87 xG 0.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
252 Passes 284
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek beat Rijeka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osijek had 48% of the ball to Rijeka's 52%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.87 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osijek and 1.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Rijeka?

Osijek 2-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Osijek 45%, draw 29%, Rijeka 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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