Central & Western 5-4 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
1.0
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.5pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.91/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/3.14
+44% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
362 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Eastern District
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-4 HT 2-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
19.02.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-3 HT 1-3 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
13.11.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-0 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
05.12.2021 Eastern District Eastern District 0-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western squeezed past Eastern District 5-4. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Central & Western and 1.00 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Eastern District?

Central & Western 5-4 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 61%, draw 19%, Eastern District 20%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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