Inter Miami 0-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 May 2025

Inter Miami
0-3 HT 0-1
Orlando City
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Inter Miami vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
7%
8.93
X/X
10%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.25
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.57
+30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
12.3 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Inter Miami vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Orlando City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
396 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 5-0 HT 3-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City CONLK
21.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
06.10.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD

Inter Miami 0-3 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
0-3
AWAY Orlando City
1.17 xG 3.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
463 Passes 233
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City cruised past Inter Miami 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Inter Miami had 64% of the ball to Orlando City's 36%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 1.17 to 3.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Inter Miami and 1.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Inter Miami 0-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 52%, draw 23%, Orlando City 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter Miami), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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