Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 30% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.35
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
8%
7.67
X/2
19%
4.93
X/X
15%
5.28
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
20%
2.69
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -8%
1.81/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.20
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.2 Crosses 16.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
503 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
07.04.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
17.09.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
05.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.21 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
390 Passes 456
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 47% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 53%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.83 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 28%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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