Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.72
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
11%
6.31
X/2
17%
5.78
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.2
2/X
5%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.74/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.35
+5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.8 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
480 Passes 297
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
07.04.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
17.09.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
05.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABDK
16.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.77 xG 1.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
609 Passes 322
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
45 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy got the better of Los Angeles FC 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles Galaxy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 64% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 36%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.77 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 37%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC 39%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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