Patronato 2-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.00
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.09.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 2-4 HT 1-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
08.05.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
14.04.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato squeezed past San Miguel 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Patronato made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Patronato and 1.00 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Patronato vs San Miguel?

Patronato 2-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Patronato 32%, draw 32%, San Miguel 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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