Barcelona SC 2-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.57
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.8 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Emelec
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
221 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
29.04.2024 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
13.11.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-3 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-3 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
12.05.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-0
AWAY Emelec
0.79 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
242 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC saw off Emelec 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 53% of the ball to Emelec's 47%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.79 to 1.22 — on chances, Emelec could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.17 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Emelec?

Barcelona SC 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 47%, draw 29%, Emelec 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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