Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-0
HT 2-0
Once Caldas
KOL
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Once Caldas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 43% of the ball to Once Caldas's 57%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.83 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 39%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.