Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-2 Shabab Baalbeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ghazieh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.01.2025 Shabab Baalbeck 1-0 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ghazieh and Shabab Baalbeck couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Baalbeck at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-2 Shabab Baalbeck in the Lebanon - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Baalbeck win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ghazieh 28%, draw 27%, Shabab Baalbeck 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shabab Baalbeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Baalbeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
19 May 2025
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