Melgar 1-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melgar The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.83
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
303 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2024 Melgar Melgar 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
21.04.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
07.07.2023 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
04.02.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.10.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
25.06.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
1 - 1
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.07 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
282 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Melgar vs Atletico Grau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melgar and Atletico Grau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melgar at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.

On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Melgar's favour, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.07 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Melgar against 1.00 for Atletico Grau.

Melgar vs Atletico Grau Result & Final Score

Melgar 1 - 1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melgar vs Atletico Grau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Melgar 69%, draw 19%, Atletico Grau 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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