Melgar vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melgar 1-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar and Atletico Grau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melgar at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Melgar's favour, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.07 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Melgar against 1.00 for Atletico Grau.
Melgar vs Atletico Grau Result & Final Score
Melgar 1 - 1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melgar vs Atletico Grau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Melgar 69%, draw 19%, Atletico Grau 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.