Melgar 0-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -1%
2.04/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.47
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.8 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.24 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
321 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
07.07.2023 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
04.02.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.10.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
25.06.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
14.10.2020 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
0-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.81 xG 0.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
284 Passes 167
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar and Atletico Grau fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Melgar had 60% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 40%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melgar and 1.00 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Atletico Grau?

Melgar 0-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Melgar 54%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melgar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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