UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.64
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.6 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
11.08.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
17.05.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
23.10.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
24.06.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
12.09.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 HT 0-2 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.66 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
188 Passes 175
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca beat Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 51% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 49%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 1.66 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 0.83 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 51%, draw 26%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ BTTS Yes
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