Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.30/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.08
-28% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.8 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 220
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
17.05.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
23.10.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
24.06.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
12.09.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 HT 0-2 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
24.06.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PERKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.01 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
295 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlos Manucci Trujillo saw off UTC Cajamarca 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Carlos Manucci Trujillo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 51% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 1.50 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs UTC Cajamarca?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 38%, draw 29%, UTC Cajamarca 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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