Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 May 2025

Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2 HT 2-0
CSKA Moskova
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.38
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.4
X/2
15%
5.38
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v CSKA Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.29/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
14.0 Crosses 14.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
321 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.04.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-3 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
23.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
29.10.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
12.03.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 CSKA Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.43 xG 1.51
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
207 Passes 519
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moskova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 32% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 68%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.43 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.83 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 35%, draw 29%, CSKA Moskova 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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