SalPa Salo 1-3 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 22%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.14
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY JaPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-3 HT 1-2 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
07.10.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FINY
28.06.2023 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
15.04.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-1 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-3
AWAY JaPS
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS got the better of SalPa Salo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was SalPa Salo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 57% of the ball to JaPS's 43%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.25 for JaPS.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs JaPS?

SalPa Salo 1-3 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 51%, draw 23%, JaPS 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SalPa Salo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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