Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
5-1
HT 2-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 37% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 63%, shots finished 9-22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.33 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima?
Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 20%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.